“There’s no damning physical evidence demonstrating the direct involvement President Dilma Rousseff in the case”
25 marzo, 2015
Elizeu Santiago, professor of international relations and Deputy Coordinator of international relations from IBMR-Laureate International Universities and a Ph.d. candidate in political science.
There’s a big debate in Brazil right now about the political crisis we are facing. I talked to a professor specialized in political science, so he can tell us more about that issue. Since this problem had come to light, there’s a discussion if the President Dilma Rousseff is involved and how deep it’s your involvement.
According to the professor, “The opposition alleges that, although such evidence have not yet been formally introduced, the amount diverted and the complex network of State officials involved make little believable that the mandatory hadn’t science schema.” He says that right now, the resignation of the President it’s not intented at the Presidential Palace.
The political crisis there is happening in Brazil it’s a reason of great worries among the population. The problem right now is to find a solution for it. One of the most difficults things to answer and to do it is to know how to get out of it. Elizeu thinks that the output for the current moment is painful. In the short term, fiscal adjustments that allow the country bringing inflation into the goals and that will reduce the deficit presented in recent quarters. In the long run, only a reform package could reverse the trend of loss of competitiveness and industrial slowdown.
And why everything happened? “Two sets of factors can be cited when analyzing the current economic crisis in Brazil”, he says – “The first are the external variables, which is affecting not only Brazil, but across the emerging world. At the domestic level, the reduction of international liquidity comes forcing the Brazilian Central Bank to raise interest rates, which contributes to the attraction of capital and containment of inflationary spiral, but, on the other hand, discourages economic growth by making credit. “
But, even with all of that happening, he doesn’t think that Brazil it’s leading to a crisis. In his opinion there’s a consolidation of democratic institutions in Brazil. “A Federal Police conducting investigations without major restrictions, a functioning Judiciary that analyses the surveys he submitted, followed by a Legislature that is heading towards establishment of a CPI.” That means that even with all the scandals and problems, Brazil it’s not completely lost.
The current crisis that the country is experiencing is in the policy, resulting from a growing popular feeling of dissatisfaction with the legislature, the institution with the lowest popularity among all the others. At this very moment, the Congress debate a broad political reform bill aiming to reform distortions of the Brazilian representative system.
The popularity of the President is crearly affected by it. If proven she’s direct connected with the scandals around the car wash operation, is feared by opening an impeachment process in Congress.
The professor Elizeu thinks that it`s very difficult to continue the presidential succession plans in PT right now. “It is speculated that an extended wear in the figure of the President may jeopardize the continuation of the ruling party in upcoming elections”.
To terminate, he says that some political analysts are advising the President to draw your image to that of former President Luís Inácio Lula da Silva, in an attempt to garner more popularity indexes.
So right now we just have to wait to see what will happen in Brazil and how everything will ended it.
Universidad Europea de Madrid